Working the waiver wire

Getting help from the waiver wire
by Marc Normandin/Baseball Prospectus
August 13, 2008

The trade deadline has passed in all but the most lenient of fantasy leagues, meaning it's time to focus on the margins using free agency and waivers in order to bolster your roster during the remaining month and a half of the regular season. Those in head-to-head leagues have even less time to improve, with their league playoffs just a few weeks in the future, so with that in mind we'll take a look at pitchers (the most coveted commodity) using QuikERA, a favorite statistic of mine that you should familiarize yourself with. Using QERA should tell you which pitchers you can expect to see regression from, and which ones are safer bets to continue their success (or failures) going forward.

Scott Olsen began the year on fire, and his line on the season still looks solid enough because of it; over his first 10 starts he posted a 3.38 ERA, and now has a 4.04 ERA over a total 147 innings pitched. Given his peripherals at the time, it's a wonder that his ERA managed to stay as low as it did then. Olsen had an equal number of walks and strikeouts during that early run (29 of each in 64 innings) and gave up 1.1 home runs per nine, a rate of 24.4 every 200 innings pitched. Thanks to that early stretch, his current numbers look solid, though they go against his season's QERA of 5.47. In fact, the 1.43 difference between his actual ERA and his QERA is the sixth-largest spread for any starter with at least 50 innings pitched. He can thank his BABIP of .259 for that, as it's 65 points below his expected figure given his 20.4 percent liner rate.

His punch-out rate is one reason we can't expect his current actual ERA to last. Though he's striking out more batters since his first 10 starts, he's still at a below-average 4.9 K/9 for the season. Throw in that he induces grounders just 36 percent of the time, and it's easy to see why Olsen is not a favorite when it comes to this statistic (since ground-ball tendencies are another component of QERA). He's regressed closer to his QERA figure over his last 10 starts, with a 5.19 ERA over 59 innings pitched, even though he's put some space between his strikeouts (4.9) and walks (2.7) per nine, in part because he's started to give up far more home runs, with a 1.5 HR/9, or 34 per 200 innings, a significant increase. Opponents have knocked Olsen around for an ugly .286/.336/.524 clip, and it's tough to survive a ballgame when you're turning all of the opposition into this year's Vladimir Guerrero. Though Florida's defense is solid, with a .705 Defensive Efficiency that ranks sixth in the National League, they aren't so good that you can expect his low BABIP to last. If you have other options, skipping out on Olsen's starts or dropping him is a solid plan, and make sure not to overdraft him next year based on his final seasonal line, either.

Olsen isn't the only Sunshine State hurler who is pitching above expectations, as Tampa Bay's Edwin Jackson has also put together a season that, on the surface, appears to be more than solid. He has a 4.07 ERA over 137 innings, but has just 5.1 K/9 and nearly four walks per nine, as well as being on pace for 25 homers allowed over 200 innings. His 5.60 QERA is 1.53 runs higher than his actual ERA, putting him a spot ahead of Olsen in terms of the largest discrepancies between ERA and QERA. His actual BABIP is 21 points below his expected rate (.278), helped by his lower-than-average 17.9 percent liner rate, but the overall BABIP is also a product of his pitching in front of the second-best defense in the American League.

Thanks to his defense, Jackson can survive with his low K rates as long as he doesn't let the walks or homers get out of control. While the walks have not been as much of an issue as in the past, he's struggled with the long ball over his last 10 starts. Though he has a 4.10 ERA (and 4.25 RA) over the 59 1/3-inning stretch, he's given up 1.7 homers per nine, a projected total of nearly 38 home runs over 200 innings. That's a poor showing for anyone, never mind someone with the high walk totals and low strikeout rates he has. At this point, Jackson's defense makes him a worthwhile innings eater on a club desperate for that, but his recent stretch is worrisome, and he's of no help to someone who already has productive pitching in place. He's the kind of guy you dump into free agency if you're forced to make a move for help elsewhere.

Javier Vazquez's recent struggles have been surprising, given his strong start and his history as a quality pitcher. Lately though, he's pitched poorly: in 66 innings over his last 10 starts he's got a 5.32 ERA thanks to 1.5 HR/9, and that's in spite of a solid 8.3 K/9 against just 3.1 BB/9. If not for the homers, Vazquez would have come out ahead during this stretch, as he gave up a .262/.324/.461 line that was really only marred by the 11 homers that he gave up. Vazquez has had some poor luck, as the White Sox are in the middle of the AL in Defensive Efficiency, converting 70 percent of balls in play into out, but he hasn't received that kind of defensive support, as reflected by his .331 BABIP allowed on the season. Granted, his 20.2 percent liner rate means we should expect his BABIP to be .322, an insignificant difference, but with the defense playing as well as it has, you'd think he would have reaped some benefit.

Regardless, the defense can't catch the balls that Vazquez lets hitters put into orbit, and there has been far too much of that lately. QERA does not account for home runs, which makes sense when you see that it expects Vazquez to have a sub-four ERA, about a run better than his current numbers. Vazquez's career HR/9 rate is 1.2, and he's matching that this year despite his recent bad patch, but that career rate is somewhat misleading thanks to awful campaigns with the Diamondbacks and Yankees. During his better years, he's usually around the 1.0 mark, right where he was after his first 14 starts of this season. Even with the homers and ERA, Vazquez does plenty of good thanks to the low walk rates and multiple punchouts; if he manages to rein in his homer rate before year's end, it's all to the good for your club.

Carlos Silva hasn't been as bad as advertised this year, as his 5.93 ERA is almost a full run above his QERA of 4.92. The problem with that is that a 4.92 isn't any great shakes either, and when you combine his pitching style with Seattle's awful defensive play, it's no surprise that he's struggled the way he has. He's still one of those guys who usually floats to the top of free-agent leaderboards simply by virtue of throwing a lot of innings, and at this time of year, he's the kind of player who someone may be desperate enough to pick up. It's for that reason that I mention him, just to tell you that you are not desperate enough to acquire him for your stretch run, no matter how dire your need for pitching is.

Silva is striking out fewer than four per nine, continuing a streak that he's kept going since 2004, his first year with Minnesota. Luckily, walks are rare, as he's giving out just 1.7 BB/9 on the year, right around his career rate; the problem has been his BABIP of .331. With Seattle ranking second-to-last in the AL in Defensive Efficiency and converting a paltry 68.8 percent of balls in play into outs, it's no wonder Silva has been unable to pitch to his normal standards. When nearly 86 percent of your opponents end up putting the ball in play, you would like to have a defensive unit behind you that can catch a few of those. The right side of the infield hasn't had too much trouble with his grounders, as the opposition is hitting just .250 there on 25 percent of balls in play, but the left side is allowing a .301 average on 20.1 percent of balls in play, which is far too high for ground balls. The outfield isn't doing him any favors either, with .431, .500, and .531 averages from left to right. The lesson you should glean from these numbers is that Silva isn't the answer for you, no matter how hard up for pitching you may be, not unless Seattle's defense all of a sudden learns how to field. Given how unlikely that is, you'll want to avoid him.

Marc Normandin is an author of Baseball Prospectus.

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Hot Off The Waiver Wire

MLB Waiver Wire Wonders
by Tim Williams/AccuScore

Hot Off The Waiver Wire
posted by Tabloid Paige

The waiver wire can drive you nuts sometimes. You add a top prospect like Clayton Kershaw to your pitching staff to give you a boost, but in eight starts the highly touted rookie posts zero wins, a 4.42 ERA, and a 1.63 WHIP. Upon demotion to the minor leagues you cut Kershaw loose.

By the time Kershaw gets recalled, you are content with options like Manny Parra, who posted a 2.57 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP in the 21 days Kershaw spent in the minors. When Kershaw returns you look at his horrible ratios from when you had him, and you look at Manny Parra’s success, and decide that you’ve got the better pitcher. So you decide to hold on to Parra and let Kershaw ride it out on the wire.

Your guess was right, as on June 22nd, Kershaw returns to pitch three innings, allowing ten hits, three walks, five earned runs, with just two strikeouts. However, from June 23rd until now, Kershaw has posted two wins in three starts, with an 0.47 ERA, and 0.89 WHIP, and 15 strikeouts in 19 innings. Parra, in the meantime, has zero wins, a 7.27 ERA, and a 1.73 WHIP, with the only benefit being 16 strikeouts in 17.1 innings.

Now I think Manny Parra is in a slump, and I won’t hold these three games against him, at least not as much as Prince Fielder would. That being said, I added Kershaw in a few of my leagues a few weeks before his first call up. I waited for him to show his top prospect status from May 25th until July 1st. When he was demoted to the minors, I was finally able to cut ties with him. And now he is showing what I was waiting for all along, only he’s doing it on other teams.

Although I guess it all comes full circle. I did not own Brett Myers at the start of the season, and after torturing his owners for months, following by a near month long demotion to the minors, Myers has returned to post a 2.50 ERA and an 0.94 WHIP in three starts. I now own Myers in just as many leagues as I dropped Kershaw in. So if you are regretting losing a guy like Kershaw or Myers due to their recent success, maybe you can redeem that mistake with one of this week’s Waiver Wire Wonders.

Batters

Lastings Milledge – Milledge has been on a tear recently, with a .407 average, four homers, and a stolen base in the last week. So far this season he has 11 homers, 14 stolen bases, and a .250 average. He has hit eight homers since the start of June, which is good considering he only had 23 at bats in July. At 23 years of age, he could finally be seeing his potential.

Mike Cameron – The thing that has been holding Cameron back has been the batting average. Cameron has 17 homers and 10 steals on the season, but a .237 average to go with those numbers. Cameron seems to be rebounding, with a .263 average in the last month, and a .279 average in the last two weeks. I don’t think he is anything better than a .250 hitter, but considering his other numbers, that will be enough.

Jason Kubel – He has 16 homers on the season, and four in the last month. The drawback to Kubel is that he only has a .268 average this season, making him this year’s version of Chris Duncan. Kubel is still a decent option for deeper mixed leagues, or if your team is in search of power.

Billy Butler – I consider him the Clayton Kershaw of offense. Butler is only 22 years old, and came in to this season with high expectations. After hitting .295 with one homer in April, he hit .233 with no homers in May, before being sent down in June. In the last month, Butler has hit .301 with five homers, showing that he may finally be living up to the early season hype.

Denard Span – Since being called up at the end of June, Span has a .330 average, two homers, three steals, and has been a great source of runs. Those are some pretty solid numbers in such a short…span? Sorry, I couldn’t resist. He will resume batting leadoff when Michael Cuddyer returns, which makes him a solid option if you need stolen bases and a boost in batting average.

Marlon Byrd – Byrd is batting behind Michael Young and Josh Hamilton in the Rangers lineup, which could give him a lot of chances for production. In the last two weeks he’s hit .362 with three homers and 11 RBIs, showing just what he’s capable of in that lineup.

Emilio Bonifacio – The Nationals traded Jon Rauch for Bonifacio straight up, and since getting the call to the majors, Emilio has hit .318 with three steals, eight runs, and six RBIs. He’s a great add in NL only leagues, and a solid option for your middle infield spot in deeper mixed leagues, especially if you need steals.

John Baker – The Marlins may finally have a catcher, with Baker hitting four homers with a .254 average over the last month. Baker’s production has bought him more playing time with Matt Treanor returning from the DL. He’s really only an option if you start two catchers, or in an NL only league.

Kelly Shoppach – Only two catchers have more homers than Shoppach, and that is Brian McCann and Geovany Soto. The difference is that Shoppach has about 150 fewer at bats than each of those guys. In the last 30 days, Shoppach has received a lot of playing time, posting a .328 average and five homers.

Pitchers

Clayton Kershaw – What else needs to be said? If you’ve got him, I’d ride it out and see what he can do.

Brett Myers – Myers has taken a different route than Kershaw. He was a reliever all of last season, and now has moved back to the rotation. I believe his problems stemmed from his habits as a closer. As a starter you need to mix your pitches up, while a closer relies on a fastball and an out pitch. Then there’s the issue of getting his arm stretched out. I think we will see a nice turnaround for Myers the rest of the season.

Gil Meche – Meche has been a decent pitcher this year, with a 4.17 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, 10 wins, and 115 strikeouts. Then he will go on amazing stretches like the last month, where he has posted four wins, 28 strikeouts, a 2.45 ERA, and a 1.09 WHIP. He’s only owned in a third of leagues, but that should be a lot more considering how good his numbers have been pitching for the Royals.

Kevin Slowey – Slowey has struggled in the last month, but I think he is a much better pitcher than his 5.63 ERA over that stretch indicates. Even during that bad run he has a 1.29 WHIP, and on the season he has a 1.10 WHIP. I like his strikeout totals, and I think his bad ERA is just a bit of bad luck.

Zach Miner – In his last four starts, Miner has a 2.31 ERA, and 1.16 WHIP, and a 3-1 record. The Tigers have been surging lately, and if Miner is going to pitch this well, then he becomes a great option in deeper leagues and AL only leagues.

Nick Blackburn – Blackburn is owned in less than a fifth of leagues, and the reason is that he doesn’t put up earth shattering numbers. When you look at what he has done so far (3.60 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, nine wins, 71 strikeouts in 140 innings) you have to wonder why he isn’t owned in as many leagues. My guess would be the low strikeout numbers, which makes Blackburn a great option if you don’t desperately need strikeouts.

Brian Moehler – In the last month Moehler has a 3.72 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and three wins. This season he has seven wins, a 4.01 ERA, and a 1.33 WHIP. He’s barely owned, but he’s a great NL only option, and a decent option if you stream pitchers.

Jeff Karstens – In his first two starts with the Pirates, Karstens has pitched 15 innings, allowing seven hits, five walks, and zero earned runs, with two wins. He took a perfect game in to the eighth inning in his last start before allowing a two out double to Chris Young. I don’t think he’s this good, but he’s unknown by NL hitters, which makes him a good option until other teams get a book on him

Anibal Sanchez, SP, Florida

Analysis: Sanchez is on the verge of resuming his major league career after having not pitched in the majors since May 2007 because of a torn rotator cuff. The Marlins were expected to evaluate Sanchez after his final rehab start Wednesday and decide whether or not he will return to the rotation Monday against the Mets. However, his game at Double-A Carolina was postponed and his return to the majors could also be delayed a few days. Sanchez is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA in his first four rehab starts. He also has struck out 18 in 21 innings. The right-hander looks a lot like the kid who threw a no-hitter in 2006 and posted a 10-3 record, 2.84 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Sanchez has topped out at 93 mph in his rehab outings. It's always tough to come back from a serious shoulder operation, but Sanchez has defied the odds thus far. He could be a second-half sleeper if he finds his pre-surgery form.
Hot Off The Waiver Wire

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Fantasy News Two Start Pitchers Wk. 18

Fantasy News
Two Start Pitchers
Week 18
posted by Tabloid Paige

Dallas Braden+ improves to 2-0 on season: Dallas Braden allowed one run over five innings as the Oakland Athletics ended a six-game losing streak with an 8-1 victory over the Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday night. Braden (2-0) allowed four hits, walked four and struck out one. Braden was making his first start of the season, replacing Joe Blanton, who was traded to Philadelphia last Thursday, in the rotation.

Scott Feldman+ gets spot start, wins game: Rangers SP Scott Feldman, expected to move to the bullpen but forced to start because Eric Hurley has stiffness in his left shoulder, won his third straight decision Monday at the White Sox. He gave up one run on four hits in six innings, walking three and striking out one. "I sort of got into trouble a couple times, but I was able to make a good pitch and get a ground ball," he said. "I was trying to get ground balls, and when you're doing that you have to have a good defense, and we had a great defense tonight turning those double plays."


TWO START PITCHERS

AL:
Dallas Braden+, Mark Buehrle, A.J. Burnett, Paul Byrd, Scott Feldman+*, Armando Galarraga, Matt Ginter, Zack Greinke, Jeremy Guthrie, Felix Hernandez, John Lackey, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Luis Mendoza*, Mike Mussina, Glen Perkins+, Darrell Rasner, Clayton Richard, Kenny Rogers, Carlos Silva*, James Shields, Kevin Slowey, Jered Weaver*.

NL:
Collin Balester, Kevin Correia, Johnny Cueto, Doug Davis, Tim Hudson, Hiroki Kuroda, Ted Lilly, Braden Looper, Greg Maddux, John Maine, Brett Myers, Ricky Nolasco, Scott Olsen, Roy Oswalt, Micah Owings*, Jo-Jo Reyes, Glendon Rusch*, CC Sabathia, Ben Sheets, Ian Snell, Todd Wellemeyer, Carlos Zambrano.

+ = Check Wavier wire consider picking up.
* = Two-start status is in question.

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Knight Time Dream Comes True

By BRIAN LEWIS
Posted: 3:47 am
July 26, 2008

Posted by Tabloid Paige
Fantasy Basebabll News

Brandon Knight was sitting on his couch last May when opportunity knocked - or called, to be precise.

Somerset (N.J.) Patriots pitching coach and ex-teammate Brett Jodie was offering Knight a low-paying gig pitching in the Independent League. His wife had to convince him they could survive long enough for him to chase his dream one last time.


That dream becomes reality tonight when the 32-year-old righty makes his first major league appearance in six seasons, starting against the Cardinals in place of Pedro MartinezPedro Martinez , who buried his father yesterday.

"It's definitely been a roller coaster. It's amazing how life is," Knight said. "I was retiring last year. I was done. I was literally on the couch when Brett Jodie called and asked if I'd be interested in playing."

After recording a 10.71 ERA in 11 Yankee outings over 2001 and '02, Knight hadn't been back to the majors since. He spent two years in Japan, a season in Double-A and a vexing week in Mexico last April that convinced him to get a job.

When Jodie called offering $2,500 a month, Knight told his wife Brooke, "I don't think this is going to work. We can't live on that." She said give it a shot. 'If you don't, you're going to be really mad at yourself.' "

His best shot in Somerset earned him a minor-league deal from the MetsNew York Mets in May, and he went 5-1 at New Orleans with a 1.60 ERA, 49 strikeouts and just 10 walks in 39 innings.

He was named to the U.S. Olympic team and impressed then-Zephyrs pitching coach Dan Warthen, now with the Mets, enough he insisted they call him up.

"All I know is Dan Warthen saw him," Jerry Manuel said. "I'm looking forward to what he has to offer."

Insight:
The New York Mets purchased Knight’s contract in May 2008 and he has been playing for their Triple-A team in New Orleans. In ten games for New Orleans, Knight has a record of 4-1, a 1.89 ERA, 37 strikeouts, and one save.

Knight has Major League experience with the New York Yankees, where he pitched in seven games during the 2002 season. Knight also has six seasons of Triple-A experience in the Texas Rangers, New York Yankees and Mets organizations. He has a Minor League career ERA of 4.39 with 1,189 strikeouts in 1,301 innings over 294 games pitched.

Knight was 12-5 with a 4.03 ERA and 111 strikeouts in 91.2 innings pitched in 29 games for Somerset during the 2007 season. He was named the Atlantic League Pitcher of the Month for September 2007 with his 3-0 record, 1.59 ERA, and 24 strikeouts in 17 innings pitched over three games started.

brian.lewis@nypost.com

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Fantay Baseball Update CWS RP Masset Starts Tuesday

Fantasy Baseball Update
From Sportingnews.com

Nick Masset will start Tuesday in place of the injured Jose Contreras.




Fantasy spin: The White Sox decided against calling up Lance Broadway or another minor leaguer to start. Masset has a 4.14 ERA and a 1.65 WHIP in one start and 27 relief appearances this season. He's not recommended in AL-only leagues.

What I think is Lance Broadway is the better choice, not calling him up at this time is just another mistake the White Sox will have to live with.

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Fantasy Baseball Update

Fantasy Basball Update
by: Rotoworld.com

LATEST FANTASY BASEBALL HEADLINES

It's been a busy week and there's plenty of stuff to cover today, so let's skip the usual chatter and get right to the notes from around baseball.

* Colby Rasmus came into this season as a consensus top-10 prospect and was thought to have a legitimate shot at replacing Jim Edmonds as the Cardinals' starting center fielder. Instead, he was sent to Triple-A despite posting a .982 OPS during spring training and slumped at Memphis, hitting just .210 in April and .218 in May. He put together a big June, hitting .333/.441/.535, but then missed time earlier this month with a groin injury.

Ramus had just returned to the lineup Tuesday when he suffered a sprained knee that's expected to sideline him for at least a month and will keep him from playing in the Olymp! ics. He once seemed like nearly a sure thing to spend a chunk of this season in the majors, but between the injuries and hitting just .249/.346/.395 the 22-year-old may not make it to St. Louis until 2009. His 11 homers, 49 walks, and 15 steals in 89 games are still a good sign, so don't give up on him.


* Overreacting to his recent struggles, the Blue Jays sent Jesse Litsch to the minors Thursday despite his decent 8-7 record and 4.46 ERA overall this season. Litsch is 23 years old, has gone 15-16 with a 4.12 ERA in 39 career starts, and has posted better secondary numbers-strikeouts, walks, homers allowed than he did as a rookie last season. Given that Toronto is all but out of the playoff picture, he likely deserved to remain in the rotation and work through his problems.

Whatever the case, the Blue Jays recalled southpaw David Pur! cey from Triple-A to replace Litsch in the rotation and he's worth watching after showing major improvement recently. A first-round pick in 2004, Purcey has always racked up plenty of strikeouts, but struggled with his control for his first three pro seasons before something finally clicked for him last year. Now that he's finding the strike zone with regularity, Purcey looks capable of becoming a solid mid-rotation starter.

In 30 starts between Double-A and Triple-A over the past two seasons, Purcey has a 3.62 ERA and 176-to-50 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 179 innings. Striking out around one batter per inning is nothing new for Purcey, but he's issued just 2.5 free passes per nine innings during that time after walking 5.1 batters per nine innings from 2004-2006. Don't expect him to be a mixed-league option, but Purcey has a chance to provide some solid value in AL only leagues.

* Jeff Baker has officially taken over as the Rockies' second baseman, starting six straight games at the position even with Troy Tulowitzki's return from the disabled list crowding the infield picture. Baker's bat was mediocre when he was playing primarily first base or an outfield corner, but he has enough pop to be one of the league's better hitters at second base and has been surprisingly effective defensively for someone who made his MLB debut at the position earlier this year.

Baker is a .274/.329/.488 hitter with 17 homers, 55 total extra-base hits, 71 RBIs, and 77 runs in 484 career plate appearances, including .297/.344/.510 in 224 trips to the plate this season. His solid-looking raw numbers are due largely to playing home games at Coors Field, as he's hit just .218/.282/.341 on the road during his career, but Baker isn't going anywhere and raw! numbers are all that matter for fantasy purposes. He could b! e a majo r sleeper down the stretch.

* Oliver Perez had three shutout efforts in his first four outings this season, but then went through an ugly eight-start stretch that saw him post a 7.51 ERA with more walks than strikeouts from late April through early June. He's gotten back on track since then and after fanning a dozen over 7.2 innings of one-run ball Thursday he now has a 2.53 ERA and 57-to-21 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 57 innings spread over his last nine outings, including five straight Quality Starts.

* After a week full of contradictory stories about what the Cubs planned to do with Kerry Wood, the oft-injured closer finally landed on the disabled list Thursday due to a blister on his right index finger. Wood hasn't pitched since July 11 and the DL stint was backdated to make him eligible for a quick return, but he's unlikely to be ready by the end of the month. Carlos Marmol will keep filling in for Wood and should be able to pick up a few saves despite his own recent struggles.

* Carlos Delgado posted the worst OPS of his career last year and hit just .198 this April as many people began speculating about the Mets replacing him, but he's been one of the NL's best hitters since May 1. Delgado delivered a key two-run double Thursday against the Phillies and is hitting .284/.363/.530 with 16 homers and 18 doubles over his last 74 games. He's been especially great this month, going 29-for-73 (.397) with five homers, eight doubles, and 16 RBIs in 20 games.

Fantasy Baseball Update

AL Quick Hits:
As expected, the Mariners are no longer counting on Erik Bedard (shoulder) being able to make a start before the trading deadline . Meanwhile, Jarrod Washburn said Wednesday that he'd "strongly consider" waiving his partial no-trade clause for a deal to the Yankees . Roy Halladay picked up his 12th win by holding the Orioles to one run over seven innings Thursday and now ranks third in the league with a 2.82 ERA . With Jorge Posada (shoulder) no longer an option behind the plate and Jose Molina sporting a measly .560 OPS, the Yaankees are said to be interested in veteran catchers Gerald Laird, Paul Lo Duca, Miguel Olivo, and Rod Barajas . Gil Meche tossed seven shutout innings Thursday against the Rays for his eighth victory . Daniel Cabrera was rocked by the Blue Jays for seven runs on 11 hits Thursday and is now 1-5 with a 6.56 ERA over his last 10 outings following a very promising start to the season . Jason Bartlett returned from the disabled list Thursday by! going 3-for-3 with a double. With as many as a dozen teams said to be scouting George Sherrill, he doesn't figure to be a closer for much longer.

NL Quick Hits:
Jimmy Rollins was benched Thursday for showing up late to the ballpark, but made the final out of the game as a pinch-hitter . Ryan Braun notched his second straight four-hit game Thursday and is now hitting .382 this month . Carlos Zambrano hasn't totaled more than six strikeouts in a start since April 6, but improved to 11-4 with seven innings of two-run ball Thursday against the Marlins . Showing no sign! s of slowing down, Xavier Nady went 2-for-4 with a homer Thursday and is now sporting a 1.060 OPS this month . Bronson Arroyo is 5-0 with a 3.09 ERA in his last five starts, reportedly drawing the Rockies' interest despite being owed $23 million over the next two years . Lastings Milledge returned from the disabled list Thursday and resumed starting in center field, with Willie Harris sliding to left field . Josh Bard came off the shelf Thursday after sitting out two months with an ankle injury suffered when Albert Pujols slid into him . General manager Jim Bowden said Thursday that the Nationals will non-tender Chad Cordero (shoulder) after the season, but may try to resign him to an incentive laden deal.

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Hanrahan Set to Close In Washington

By Jason Grey
ESPN.com

Joel Hanrahan just got real popular with fantasy players.

The first look at the fantasy spin on the Jon Rauch and Randy Wolf trades of Tuesday was available right after the deals were made, but since then, our speculation that Hanrahan will get the first shot at closing games with Rauch no longer in the picture was confirmed by the Nationals' Web site.

The 26-year-old has thrived in his first season converting to a relief role. He was once a highly touted starting prospect in the Dodgers system until shoulder problems derailed him in 2003. Working in the 'pen in maximum-effort stints has added velocity to his fastball, which now touches 97 mph and is complemented by a hard, mid-80s slider. It's certainly prototypical closer's stuff.

The one issue with Hanrahan is his tendency to get wild at times. Though he's striking out more than a batter per inning, he's also walking just under five batters per nine, and that could come back to bite him a bit more in the final couple of months of the season. He's not necessarily a sure thing because of his control, but merely a good speculative play for saves. Saul Rivera and Luis Ayala will also be in the mix should Hanrahan falter. Chad Cordero is expected to resume his role as the team's closer next season.

Nationals general manager Jim Bowden also confirmed to the team Web site that the plan is for Emilio Bonifacio to come up at some point later in the season, and that he is expected to bat leadoff and start at second base on Opening Day 2009, with Ronnie Belliard backing him up. Of course, things could change by that time, but that's the plan, and Bonifacio has a ton of stolen-base potential if he can make enough consistent contact at the big league level.

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Fantasy Baseball News And Updates 7/9

Tabloid Paige
Fantasy Baseball News and Update
Wed. July 9, 2008

R. Martin not hitting much lately Updated Jul 9 Martin, Russell C LA
News:
Dodgers C Russell Martin went 1-for-4 Tuesday against the Braves. He's batting .179 (5-for-28) over his last seven games.

McLouth hits another homer Tuesday Updated Jul 9

McLouth, Nate CF PIT
News: Pirates OF Nate McLouth's two-run single in the eighth inning Tuesday against the Astros capped a three-run rally to give his team a 4-3 victory. He also homered in the game, finishing 2-for-5.
Braun powers up for Home Run Derby Updated Jul 9

Braun, Ryan J. 3B MIL
News:
Ryan J. Braun gave the fans in Milwaukee a preview of what New York will see at the All-Star Home Run Derby on Tuesday against the Rockies. Braun went 1-for-3 and blasted his 22nd homer of the season, a three-run shot. He also walked.

Duchscherer throws two-hit shutout Updated Jul 9
Duchscherer, Justin RP OAK
News: Athletics SP Justin Duchscherer faced only three batters over the minimum and threw a two-hit shutout Tuesday against the Mariners. The right-hander allowed a two-out double to Richie Sexson in the fifth inning and a leadoff single to Miguel Cairo in the sixth. He retired the side in order six times, including the ninth inning when he struck out Raul Ibanez to seal his first career complete game. He struck out four total and walked none, improving to 7-2 with a 1.34 ERA over his last nine starts. The win was his first in six decisions against the Mariners.

Lincecum has rought night at Shea Updated Jul 8
Lincecum, Tim SP SF
News:
Mike Pelfrey outpitched All-Star Tim Lincecum to win his fifth straight start, and the surging New York Mets beat the San Francisco Giants 7-0 on Tuesday night. Carlos Beltran hit a three-run homer in the first inning and Carlos Delgado also connected off Lincecum (10-2) to help the Mets win their fourth in a row. Lincecum, selected to his first All-Star team Sunday, allowed a season-high nine hits in six innings. He struck out four, increasing his NL-high total to 126, and walked two.

Morneau not asked into Derby yet Updated Jul 8
Morneau, Justin 1B MIN
News: According to The Sports Xchange notes: 1B Justin Morneau, whose 12 home runs this season are half as many as he had at last season's All-Star break, said he has not been contacted by Major League Baseball to take part in this year's Home Run Derby. "I guess they asked the good players first," joked Morneau, who hit four home runs and didn't advance out of the first round in last season's derby in San Francisco. Eleven other AL All-Stars have more home runs than Morneau this season.

Rowand excited amid 32nd-man vote Updated Jul 8
Rowand, Aaron CF SF
News: According to The Sports Xchange notes: OF Aaron Rowand said he would look forward to going to the All-Star Game if fans vote him in as the NL's 32nd roster man, as part of an MLB Internet voting procedure. His competition is Pat Burrell (Phillies), Corey Hart (Brewers), Carlos Lee (Astros) and David Wright (Mets). Balloting ends Thursday.

Snyder targets post-break return Updated Jul 8
Snyder, Chris C ARI
News: According to The Sports Xchange notes: C Chris Snyder (left testicular fracture), who went on the 15-day DL on July 1, could be back right after the All-Star break, manager Bob Melvin said.

Kuroda tosses another CG shutout Updated Jul 8
Kuroda, Hiroki SP LA
News: Hiroki Kuroda took a perfect game into the eighth inning and settled for a one-hitter, leading Los Angeles Dodgers to a 3-0 victory over the Atlanta Braves on Monday night. Kuroda (5-6) retired the first 21 batters before Mark Teixeira lined the right-hander's 70th pitch into the right field corner for a double leading off the eighth. He was the only Atlanta baserunner. He threw 91 pitches and struck out six.

All Player News

German totals four hits Tuesday Updated 7/9/08
German, Esteban 2B KC
News: Royals 2B Esteban German had four hits, including his third double, and three runs in six at-bats Tuesday against the White Sox. He also had had ninth RBI and third stolen base. Analysis: German is 5-for-9 (.556) with three RBI and four runs in three July games. German is a streaky and versatile infielder, but he is nothing more than a low-end reserve for the Royals and the deepest of AL-only leagues at this point.

Teahen parks 14th double Tuesday Updated 7/9/08
Teahen, Mark RF KC

News: Royals OF Mark Teahen had one hit, his 14th double, and one run in five at-bats Thursday against the White Sox. He also walked once. Teahen is 5-for-26 (.192) with one homer and three RBI in seven July games. He has five runs and two walks in that span.
Analysis: Teahen has slowed down again at the plate after hitting five homers and 11 RBI in June. Teahen is not a premier hitter and might never be in his MLB career. Until he gets really hot at the plate, consider him more of an AL-only Fantasy OF
.
Ramirez red hot to open July Updated 7/9/08
Ramirez, Alexei 2B CHW

News: White Sox 2B Alexei Ramirez totaled four singles and two runs in six at-bats Tuesday against the Royals. Ramirez is 10-for-23 (.435) with two homers and four RBI in six July games. He also has six runs and one walk.
Analysis: Ramirez has really come alive at the plate for Chicago since he became a starter in late May. He has good pop for a middle infielder and is driving in a fair amount of runs at the bottom of the White Sox lineup. Ramirez is a decent middle infield option in larger mixed Fantasy leagues.

SS Murphy back in starting lineup Updated 7/9/08
Murphy, Donnie SS OAK

News: Athletics SS Donnie Murphy, who missed two games with an elbow injury, returned to the lineup Tuesday against the Mariners. He went 0-for-2 with an RBI on a sacrifice fly.
Analysis: Murphy is a light hitter, but he might start semi-regularly with Bobby Crosby on the DL. Leave him for deeper AL-only leagues.

F. Thomas cleared to start hitting Updated 7/9/08
Thomas, Frank DH OAK

News: Athletics DH Frank Thomas has been cleared to resume hitting, but there is no timetable for when he will come off the DL. It likely won't happen until the middle of August, according to The Sports Xchange.
Analysis: Thomas has pop, but his age, injury woes and lack of a position make him nothing more than a DL stashee in the deepest of leagues that have ample DL slots.

Crede hits 416-foot homer Updated 7/9/08
Crede, Joe 3B CHW

News: Joe Crede, the first White Sox third baseman named to the All-Star team in 16 years, hit a 416-foot home run in the sixth inning Tuesday against the Royals and finished 2-for-5 with two runs and two RBI. Crede's 16th homer was his first since June 17 and he had just his second multi-hit game since June 18.
Analysis: Crede was able to make the All-Star team thanks to a great first few weeks. His season has been on the decline since May and he has reverted to a corner infielder in mixed Fantasy leagues since he has slowed down at the plate.

Johnson crosses plate three times Updated 7/9/08
Johnson, Kelly 2B ATL

News: Braves 2B Kelly Johnson went 2-for-5 with three runs scored Tuesday at the Dodgers. He entered the game batting .125 (2-for-16) in July. Analysis: Johnson hit .235 in April, .355 in May and .250 in June. So far, he isn't off to a good start in July, but maybe this game will get him going. He has better power than most second basemen and deserves to start in all Fantasy leagues.

Kotsay comes alive with three hits Updated 7/9/08
Kotsay, Mark CF ATL
News: Braves OF Mark Kotsay, batting 1-for-20 since his return from the DL on July 1, got back on track Tuesday at the Dodgers, going 3-for-4 with two runs scored.
Analysis: Kotsay's lack of power or steals potential makes him nothing more than a deeper NL-only option at this point in his career. His primary asset to the Braves is his glove, which does at least give him regular at-bats for Fantasy owners.

Thome doubles twice vs. Royals Updated 7/9/08
Thome, Jim DH CHW

News: White Sox DH Jim Thome was 4-for-5 with two doubles and three runs scored Tuesday against the Royals. Thome hit the first of his two doubles and scored on Nick Swisher's infield out in the second. Thome led off the sixth with another double and scored on Paul Konerko's grounder.
Analysis: Thome now has 17 doubles on the season to go with his 16 homers. He continues to show a great power swing, it's just that his .240 average isn't very flattering. Thome remains more of a low-end Fantasy option in larger mixed leagues until he can bring his batting average around.

Teixeira connects for 17th homer Updated 7/9/08
Teixeira, Mark 1B ATL

News: Braves 1B Mark Teixeira had only one hit in five at-bats Tuesday at the Dodgers, but it went out of the park for his 17th home run. He has now hit .368 (7-for-19) over his last five games. Analysis: Big Tex is notoriously a better player in the second half. Consider him a must-start in all leagues and a potential second-half MVP if you are looking for someone to buy in on.

Cabrera not producing in July Updated 7/9/08
Cabrera, Orlando SS CHW

News: White Sox SS Orlando Cabrera had two hits, including his 18th double, and one RBI in six at-bats Tuesday against the Royals. He also walked once. Cabrera is just 4-for-23 (.174) with three RBI in his last six games.
Analysis: Cabrera is off to an awful start in July after hitting .336 with three homers and 18 RBI in June. He now looks more like the guy who hit .216 in April. Hopefully this skid doesn't last as long as April's slump and Cabrera can get back to being a reliable Fantasy SS.

McCann launches two solo home runs Updated 7/9/08
McCann, Brian C ATL
News: Braves C Brian McCann, getting ready to go to his third consecutive All-Star game, connected for two home runs Tuesday at the Dodgers both solo shots. He finished 2-for-4.
Analysis: McCann had gone 0-for-8 in his previous two games, but he remains one of the top hitting catchers in baseball and possibly the best Fantasy option at the position. Keep him active in all leagues.

Billingsley sharp, then implodes Updated 7/9/08
Billingsley, Chad SP LA

News: Dodgers SP Chad Billingsley looked great at first Tuesday against the Braves, holding them hitless until Kelly Johnson and Mark Kotsay opened the fifth inning with singles. The Braves ended up scoring three runs in that inning and three in the next. Billingsley was charged with all six runs five earned in 5 1/3 innings, allowing six hits and four walks and striking out eight. He lost, falling to 8-8.
Analysis: Billingsley went 1-4 with a 5.20 ERA in April, but he has been a mostly solid starter since then, striking out more than a batter per inning. His ERA rose to 3.38 with this performance, but you still want to start him virtually every time out in Fantasy. His next start and second of Fantasy Week 15 is scheduled for Sunday against the Marlins.

White Sox tag Davies for nine hits Updated 7/9/08
Davies, Kyle SP KC
News: The White Sox got at least one hit in each inning Royals SP Kyle Davies was on the hill Tuesday, but the right-hander still left with a 5-3 lead in the sixth. Davies eventually took a no decision as the bullpen blew his lead. The righty allowed nine hits and three runs in 5 2/3 innings. He walked two and struck out two while leaving after a Joe Crede solo home run in the sixth.
Analysis: Davies is winless in his last four starts with three no decisions in that span. He has allowed a total of 18 earned runs in that span. We figured it was only a matter of time before Davies reverted back to his former self after having a good start to his season. Davies remains more of an AL-only Fantasy SP. His next scheduled start is for Sunday against the Mariners.

Gonzo enters in ninth, but no save Updated 7/9/08
Gonzalez, Mike RP ATL
News: Braves closer Mike Gonzalez had to pitch the final two-thirds of the ninth inning Tuesday at the Dodgers, recording two strikeouts. He didn't record a save, though.
Analysis: The Braves have shown no qualms about using Gonzalez, who recently returned from Tommy John surgery, on back-to-back days. He has a 2.08 ERA so far and could emerge as a top-10 closer in the second half. He has that kind of potential.

Contreras' struggles persist Tuesday Updated 7/9/08
Contreras, Jose A. SP CHW

News: White Sox SP Jose Contreras went 5 2/3 innings Tuesday against the Royals, and was charged with five runs and 10 hits during a no decision. He walked one and struck out one. He has taken two straight no decisions.
Analysis: Contreras has been tagged for five or more runs in three of his last six outings. He is coming off a tough June when he posted a 6.83 ERA and his July is not off to a great start. Perhaps Contreras is wearing down after a solid start to the season. He remains at best a low-end Fantasy SP. His next scheduled start is for Sunday against the Rangers.

Jurrjens brilliant, wins ninth game Updated 7/9/08
Jurrjens, Jair SP ATL

News: Braves SP Jair Jurrjens allowed five hits, struck out six and walked three in his Dodger Stadium debut Tuesday after he was staked to a 6-0 lead. He gave up only one run. It was the fourth time in five starts that the right-hander allowed fewer than two runs while pitching six or more innings. The only run against him came on a checked-swing RBI double by James Loney with two outs in the sixth. He won for the ninth time this season.
Analysis: In the one start Jurrjens didn't allow fewer than two runs, he allowed only four in seven innings. He has an ERA right and 3.00 and continues to demonstrate poise beyond his years. The 22-year-old is close to garnering must-start status in mixed leagues. His next start won't come until after the All-Star break, but expect him to get a start in a shortened Fantasy Week 16.

Jenks misses series opener Tuesday Updated 7/9/08
Jenks, Bobby RP CHW

News: White Sox RP Bobby Jenks (shoulder) did not return to action Tuesday against the Royals. He has not pitched since June 29 and there is still no timetable for his return.
Analysis: The White Sox might eventually end up putting Jenks on the DL if his shoulder issue doesn't get any better. He is usually a must-start Fantasy RP when healthy.

Francoeur gets back in the lineup Updated 7/9/08
Francoeur, Jeff RF ATL
News: Tuesday at the Dodgers, Braves OF Jeff Francoeur played his first game since returning from a three-game minor-league stint in Double-A Mississippi. He had a single in five at-bats and threw out a base runner in the third inning.
Analysis: Francoeur went 7-for-13 in Double-A and is a solid sleeper for any league. Still, a 1-for-5 day won't inspire much confidence, lowering his batting average to .233. Don't start him outside of NL-only leagues right now.

Grudzielanek grounds into DP Updated 7/9/08
Grudzielanek, Mark 2B KC

News: Royals 2B Mark Grudzielanek missed his second straight game Tuesday against the White Sox because of general body soreness. He did appear as a pinch hitter in the 13th inning, grounding into a double-play.
Analysis: Grudzielanek might be 38 years old, but he's hitting .312 this season and is having a very solid overall campaign. He's a consistent hitter who can help in deeper leagues, but his lack of pop or steals potential limits him at this point in his career.
R. Martin not hitting much lately Updated 7/9/08
Martin, Russell C LA
News: Dodgers C Russell Martin went 1-for-4 Tuesday against the Braves. He's batting .179 (5-for-28) over his last seven games.
Analysis: Martin had a bit of a slow start to the season that frustrated Fantasy owners, but he's hitting right at .300 on the season with decent power and speed numbers. He remains an elite Fantasy C and a must-start in all leagues
.
Baker misses Tuesday's game Updated 7/9/08
Baker, Jeff 1B COL
News: Rockies UTL Jeff Baker missed Tuesday's game against the Brewers after jamming his wrist Monday. He is day to day and questionable for Wednesday.
Analysis: Baker has pop in his bat and the potential to start at second base for at least the next few weeks. He is a streaky hitter you cannot trust in most mixed leagues until he is really tearing it up.

1B LaRoche connects for 10th homer Updated 7/9/08
LaRoche, Adam A. 1B PIT

News: Pirates 1B Adam A. LaRoche went 3-for-4 with his 10th home run Tuesday against the Astros. He's batting .560 (14-for-25) with three home runs over his last eight games.
Analysis: LaRoche is on a tear and looks like a must-add in all leagues right now. He is notoriously a streaky player and could be due for a big second half. His hot streak right now makes him a solid start in all leagues.

Guzman's hit streak ends Tuesday Updated 7/9/08
Guzman, Cristian SS WAS

News: Washington SS Cristian Guzman did not get a hit in three at-bats Tuesday against the Diamondbacks, ending a 14-game hitting streak. Guzman, who did walk Tuesday, was 19-for-59 (.322) with three RBI during the streak.
Analysis: Guzman continues to put the bat on the ball in 2008, but he has no homers and only nine RBI since June 1. His lack of power and run production keeps him out of the elite class, but he still deserves to start in most Fantasy leagues.

McLouth hits another homer Tuesday Updated 7/9/08
McLouth, Nate CF PIT

News: Pirates OF Nate McLouth's two-run single in the eighth inning Tuesday against the Astros capped a three-run rally to give his team a 4-3 victory. He also homered in the game, finishing 2-for-5.
Analysis: McLouth homered for the second straight game and might be heating up again after a .214 June. He remains a must-start Fantasy option for now, but treat him as more of a No. 2 OF than a No. 1.

Pence hits a ridiculous home run Updated 7/9/08
Pence, Hunter CF HOU

News: Astros OF Hunter Pence homered in a 1-for-4 performance Tuesday at Pittsburgh. His solo shot, his 11th, came with one out in the fourth inning, a heavy wind heading straight out of the park and a storm just about to hit. The area was under a severe thunderstorm watch. Analysis: Pence, a red-hot rookie last year, has struggled to find consistency in his sophomore season. He'll still post modest power and speed numbers, but until he gets his batting average out of the .260 range, he's probably not worth starting in most mixed leagues.

Rodriguez starts Tuesday for Padres Updated 7/9/08
Rodriguez, Luis O. 3B

News: Padres INF Luis O. Rodriguez started at shortstop Tuesday against the Marlins in place of a slumping Khalil Greene. Rodriguez had a single and sac fly in three at-bats while also walking once.
Analysis: Rodriguez was just recalled from the minors Friday and has appeared in all four games since Saturday, making two starts. However, he is hitting just .125 with one RBI. Rodriguez is never going to be a Fantasy stud and can be ignored in all formats.

Lee homers in second straight game Updated 7/9/08
Lee, Carlos N. LF HOU

News: Astros OF Carlos N. Lee, who extended his hitting streak to 11 games, homered for the second time in as many games Tuesday at Pittsburgh with his rocket shot to the deepest part of the park in left-center with Lance Berkman aboard in the fifth inning. It was his 21st of the season. He finished 2-for-4.
Analysis: Lee continues to have a dominant season with the Astros but got left off the NL All-Star roster. At least Fantasy owners recognize him as an All-Star, starting him in 100 percent of leagues. He is well on his way to 30 homers for a sixth straight season.

Headley plates four RBI Tuesday Updated 7/9/08
Headley, Chase 3B SD

News: Rookie Chase Headley, playing in his 20th big league game this season, had three hits and four RBI, including a three-run double, during Tuesday's 10-1 win against the Marlins. The Padres loaded the bases against Andrew Miller with one out in the first. Headley, who played eight games with the Padres last season, cleared them with his double to the fence in left-center. It was his third double since his recall.
Analysis: Headley, who was recalled June 17, had his first multi-hit game since June 20 and has just three since returning from the minors. However, he has hit safely in 17 of 20 games. Not too bad. Headley is an elite young talent and is definitely a sleeper in deeper Fantasy leagues.

Marte saves second straight game Updated 7/9/08
Marte, Damaso RP Pit
News: Pirates RP Damaso Marte, taking over as closer with Matt Capps on the DL, recorded his second save in as many days Tuesday against the Astros. He pitched a scoreless ninth inning, issuing one walk.


cbs.sportsline.com

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Fantasy News Get'em Set'em

Fantasy Sports News

Chris Bahr
Inside Pitch July 3, 2008
SportingNews.com

PICKUP OF THE WEEK

Whenever you're in a pinch, just scan the matchups and look for a team facing the Giants, Padres, Mariners, Nationals, etc. You know, a team that packs the punch of this guy. The head-to-head matchup isn't great for Sean Gallagher on Thursday -- he'll be facing Tim Lincecum -- but it isn't all about wins and losses. In five June starts, Gallagher fanned 30 batters in just 27.2 innings. We know Lincecum will be piling up the Ks, but so will Gallagher.

KEEP AN EYE ON

Note to self: Stay away from Randy Johnson at the craps table. In three of his past four starts, he has been tagged for an unlucky seven runs. Somehow, he managed to sneak in a gem vs. Boston, but that certainly has been an exception. Even with his next start at San Diego, the Big Unit belongs on your bench. Something -- an injury? -- isn't right. ... Frank Francisco (a great pickup in redundancy leagues) had a tough three-week stretch from late May through mid-June, but he has logged seven consecutive scoreless outings. In that span, he has a 9/1 K/BB ratio, and he is getting more late-inning work. That's key in leagues that reward holds. ... Few SPs had a better month of June than Mark Buehrle (4-0, 1.60 ERA in six starts). Sure, you still aren't going to get any Ks from him, but he has become a must-start mixed leaguer. And his two starts leading into the All-Star break are quite favorable (vs. Oakland, at K.C.). ... The once unhittable Carlos Marmol is being knocked around like a nerd at recess. His ERA stood at 2.09 on June 15 but has jumped all the way to 3.56 after a three-run drubbing Wednesday. Just as we feared, his high workload is catching up to him.

CLOSER WATCH

Where to start? How about in Cleveland, where it took awhile, but Joe Borowski unfortunately is back doing what he does best: surrendering runs/leads. He has blown two of his past three save chances, and has made Masa Kobayashi a hot pickup again. ... Troy Percival (hamstring) is back on the DL, meaning Dan Wheeler is the favorite for saves in Tampa Bay. However, the quietly effective Grant Balfour , who picked up the save Tuesday, also makes a sneaky addition to your 5x5 roster. ... Eric Gagne is off the DL, but Salomon Torres got the save chances Tuesday and Wednesday. That's a sign of things to come. ... Yes, that was Joel Zumaya picking up the five-out save Tuesday. Don't read too much into that yet, but also don't dismiss it. ... In Texas, a pair of factors has given C.J. Wilson more job security. First off, Wilson is pitching a bit better. Second, Eddie Guardado has been sidelined by a sore shoulder.

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July's Hot are Your Players?

Tabloid Paige
Fantasy Baseball News-July 03 2008

July's Hot are Your Players?

Hot weather and hot bats don't always go together. Some players swelter away while others thrive in the heat. We'll look at a few players and their July performances from other seasons.
Lets look at few good hitters for the month July. Most baseball enthusiast know these players hit well any month of the year, Albert Pujols, Chase Utley and Hanley Ramirez. But you may have some players, that you are about to drop or sell, because of their performance so far. Before you do check out these numbers for July. Milton Bradley, has hit a combined .385-8-29 in only 130 July at-bats with an OPS of 1.098. And these three Miguel Cabrera (.319-12-33 the past two July's), Justin Morneau (.378-16-51 the past two July's) and Robinson Cano (.385-6-24 last July).

Head'in up:
Pat Burrell has been unimpressive the past two months, but he has a .360-9-36 stat line and a 1.103 OPS in 136 July at-bats the past two seasons.
It also will be hard to bench Jim Thome (.289-15-42 the past two Julys), Jeff Kent (.396-5-23 in just 101 at-bats the past two July's) and Jeff Francoeur (.332-15-50 past three July's) considering the numbers they've posted in recent July's.

Awaking:
You might to find this guyon the waiver wire to occasionally use this month. Adam LaRoche's .235 average might not be very attractive, but his .331-11-31 line from the past two July's looks pretty enticing.
Consider snatching up Andre Ethier (.370-7-32 the past two Julys), Ray Durham (.296-11-40 the past two July's) and maybe even Chris Duncan (.336-9-29 the past two July's) if he continues to see playing time in the Cardinals' outfield.

Stock rising:
Dustin Pedroia, with a nine-game hitting streak, during which he has gone 21-for-39 (.538), raising his average from .274 to .303. His outstanding .356 average in June should help owners forget about his mediocre .260 May. In the second half I expect .300 OBP around .360. Evan Longoria, he's hitting up to his potental as the hype goes with, AL Player of the Week after hitting .433 with three homers and 10 RBIs in six games last week. Longoria hit .300-8-19 in June, so it's safe to say he's beginning to adjust to life in the major leagues. Curtis Granderson, Granderson has recorded a hit in 18 of his past 22 games, raising his average from .238 all the way to .295. Aiding in the resurgence has been Granderson's decrease in strikeouts; he whiffed once every 7.6 at-bats in June after striking out once every 4.2 at-bats in May. More contact means a higher OBP for Granderson, which means more runs and stolen bases for fantasy owners.

K's are a Killer:
Adam Dunn (39), Ryan Howard (36), Mark Reynolds (36), Jack Cust (33), Jay Bruce (32), Jeremy Hermida (32), Dan Uggla (31), Elijah Dukes (30), Matt Kemp (30), Carlos Gomez (28), Kelly Shoppach (28), Josh Hamilton (26), Mike Jacobs (26).
If these players can cut their Ks down and contribute significantly in at least one offensive category that player might deserve a spot on your team.



Editor Dennis Paige fantasy baseball expert for Tabloid Paige.

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Todays Games Winners Losers

Tabloid Paige
Fantasy Baseball News
With Comments Added

Baseball-Reference.com

Previews:

New York Mets (40-41) @ St. Louis Cardinals (47-36), Monday, June 30, 2008, 7:05pm
NYM: John Maine (27, RHP, 8-5, 3.73) Going with
STL: Kyle Lohse (29, RHP, 9-2, 3.94) Strong Chance

Kansas City Royals (37-45) @ Baltimore Orioles (41-39), Monday, June 30, 2008, 7:05pm
KCR: Zack Greinke (24, RHP, 7-4, 3.40) 54% Edge
BAL: Brian Burres (27, LHP, 6-5, 5.29) 46%

Washington Nationals (33-50) @ Florida Marlins (42-39), Monday, June 30, 2008, 7:10pm
WSN: Tim Redding (30, RHP, 6-3, 4.05) Even
FLA: Ryan Tucker (21, RHP, 2-2, 6.75) Even

Cleveland Indians (37-45) @ Chicago White Sox (46-35), Monday, June 30, 2008, 8:11pm
CLE: Jeremy Sowers (25, LHP, 0-3, 5.97) Even
CHW: Gavin Floyd (25, RHP, 8-4, 3.39) Small Edge

Pittsburgh Pirates (38-43) @ Cincinnati Reds (38-45), Monday, June 30, 2008, 7:10pm
PIT: Paul Maholm (26, LHP, 5-5, 4.41) Loss
CIN: Aaron Harang (30, RHP, 3-10, 4.51) Win

San Diego Padres (32-51) @ Colorado Rockies (32-50), Monday, June 30, 2008, 9:05pm
SDP: Greg Maddux (42, RHP, 3-6, 3.52) Even
COL: Jorge de la Rosa (27, LHP, 2-4, 6.23) Even

Toronto Blue Jays (40-43) @ Seattle Mariners (31-50), Monday, June 30, 2008, 10:10pm
TOR: Roy Halladay (31, RHP, 8-6, 3.12) Win
SEA: R.A. Dickey (33, RHP, 2-3, 4.79) Loss

Texas Rangers (42-41) @ New York Yankees (44-38), Monday, June 30, 2008, 7:05pm
TEX: Scott Feldman (25, RHP, 1-3, 4.60) loss
NYY: Mike Mussina (39, RHP, 10-5, 3.93) Win

Boston Red Sox (50-34) @ Tampa Bay Rays (49-32), Monday, June 30, 2008, 7:10pm
BOS: Justin Masterson (23, RHP, 4-1, 3.43) Chance
TBR: James Shields (26, RHP, 5-5, 3.76) Win Iffy

Oakland Athletics (44-37) @ Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim (49-33), Monday, June 30, 2008, 10:05pm
OAK: Greg Smith (24, LHP, 4-6, 3.69) Loss
LAA: Jon Garland (28, RHP, 7-4, 4.05) Win

Chicago Cubs (49-33) @ San Francisco Giants (36-46), Monday, June 30, 2008, 10:15pm
CHC: Ted Lilly (32, LHP, 8-5, 4.74) Win
SFG: Barry Zito (30, LHP, 3-11, 5.91) Loss

Milwaukee Brewers (44-37) @ Arizona Diamondbacks (41-41), Monday, June 30, 2008, 9:40pm
MIL: David Bush (28, RHP, 4-7, 4.94) Win
ARI: Doug Davis (32, LHP, 2-3, 3.68) Loss

Los Angeles Dodgers (38-43) @ Houston Astros (39-43), Monday, June 30, 2008, 8:05pm
LAD: Eric Stults (28, LHP, 2-0, 0.60) Going with longshot
HOU: Roy Oswalt (30, RHP, 6-8, 4.77) Everyone Else

Detroit Tigers (41-40) @ Minnesota Twins (45-37), Monday, June 30, 2008, 8:10pm
DET: Armando Galarraga (26, RHP, 7-2, 3.32) Win
MIN: Glen Perkins (25, LHP, 4-2, 4.47) loss

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Two-Start Pitchers, Get.em Sit'em

Fantasy Sports News

Need Help This Week
You Might Consider

CATCHER
Sleeper: Ramon Hernandez, Orioles. Ol' Razor Ramon has five multi-hit games this month and is sporting his best batting average of any of the three months thus far. All seven of Baltimore's games come at home (four vs. KC, three vs. TEX), where the Orioles have played so well. Give him a shot.

FIRST BASE/DH
Sleeper: Mike Jacobs, Marlins. He's basically Adam Dunn with fewer strikeouts and walks, and his schedule is awfully favorable for more home runs this week. Three home agames against Washington and four road games in Colorado. Those staffs rank 27th and 28th in ERA, respectively.

SECOND BASE
Sleeper: Rickie Weeks, Brewers. He's teasing us again, with three multihit games since his return from the DL last week, and very encouraging is the fact that Milwaukee faces five lefthanders this week. Weeks is hitting .262 against them -- 55 points better than his mark against righties.

THIRD BASE
Sleeper: Bill Hall, Brewers. Like teammate Weeks, Hall is much better against lefties. Five lefties on the schedule = great times.

SHORTSTOP
Sleeper: Jeff Keppinger, Reds. It's been an inauspicious return from the DL for Keppinger thus far, but he was perhaps the Reds' best hitter at the time of his injury on May 13. Add him in deeper leagues in which he was dropped.

OUTFIELD
Sleeper: Ben Francisco, Indians.. He's more than held his own primarily batting in the No. 3 hole for Cleveland, and three games apiece await at homer-friendly U.S. Cellular Field and the Metrodome. The Indians have a plenty of offensive energy pent up because they haven't done much in the past 10 days.

FAVORABLE SCHEDULES

Orioles hitters: Four against KC and three against Texas? Hooray responsibility!
Marlins hitters: It cannot get any better than series against the Nationals and in Colorado against the Rockies.
Mets hitters: The Mets' bats have awakened again, which makes series against the Cardinals' overachieving staff and the two of the Phillies' soft-tossers (Jamie Moyer, Kyle Kendrick) look really good.

UNFAVORABLE SCHEDULES

Red Sox pitchers: Three games against the Rays in Tampa (who are 30-13 at home) and four games against the rival Yankees at Yankee Stadium will make it tough on everyone not named Josh Beckett.
Mariners hitters: Seattle is at home all week, but Roy Halladay, Dustin McGowan and Justin Verlander are among those who will be tough to handle.
Cubs pitchers: Seven road games await, and we all know how poorly the Cubs play away from Wrigley Field. Amazing how shaky the Cubs' rotation looks when Carlos Zambrano is taken out of the equation.

TWO-START PITCHERS

AL:
Brian Burres, Joba Chamberlain, John Danks, Scott Feldman, Gavin Floyd, Armando Galarraga, Jon Garland, Felix Hernandez*, Zack Greinke, Roy Halladay, Rich Harden, Luke Hochevar, Jesse Litsch*, Radhames Liz, Justin Masterson*, Mike Mussina, Glen Perkins, Nate Robertson, James Shields, Greg Smith, Jeremy Sowers, Tim Wakefield.

NL:
Collin Balester*, Dave Bush, Matt Cain, Aaron Cook, Doug Davis, Jorge De La Rosa, Zach Duke, Aaron Harang, Mark Hendrickson, Randy Johnson, Kyle Kendrick, Clayton Kershaw*, Ted Lilly, Greg Maddux, John Maine, Jason Marquis, Charlie Morton, Roy Oswalt, Tim Redding, Wandy Rodriguez, Eric Stults*, Jeff Suppan, Ryan Tucker, Edinson Volquez, Barry Zito.

* = Two-start status is in question.

Associate Editor Roger Kuznia is a fantasy baseball expert for Sporting News.

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RP Pitchers Help ERA and K's Wavier Wire

Fantasy Sports News RP Pitchers, Wavier Wire

Matthew Lutovsky
Pickup Lines June 27, 2008

It has been said again and again

You always will be able to find saves on the waiver-wire at some point during the season.
And it's true. Right now, there are six closers who were not expected to be in that position when the season started (Mike Gonzalez, Ryan Franklin, Brian Fuentes, Brandon Morrow, Jon Rauch and Salomon Torres ). And throughout the course of this season, mainly because of injury, four other closer situations have changed hands (Cleveland, Philadelphia, Tampa Bay and Toronto).

Currently, whether it's because of injury concerns, trade speculation or ineffectiveness, there are several ninth-inning situations, including those in Texas, Colorado, Atlanta, Seattle and St. Louis, that could be described as "unstable."

Because saves always are sought after -- and, apparently, available -- fantasy owners always should know which closers are struggling and which setup man are next in line for the ninth inning. A great reference tool is colleague Chris Bahr's weekly Inside Pitch column . There's a "Closer Watch" section and accompanying closer depth chart at the end of every column, and it's very helpful when you're searching for potential help in the saves department.
Of course, several of the premier middle relievers already will be on someone's team (Carlos Marmol, Heath Bell, perhaps even Taylor Buchholz), but many likely will be available.
As I've discussed before (both here and here), middle relievers are an important, often overlooked part of any fantasy team. They provide Ks and help to trim ERA and WHIP. When you find a good one who also happens to be a potential closer-in-waiting, consider it a bonus. Just ask owners who claimed Brandon Morrow even before J.J. Putz's elbow injury.
The key to picking up potential closers is timing. When a closer is on shaky ground, you should check out the game logs of whoever's next in line. If that guy has been pitching well lately, grab him. Hopefully, he'll either become the closer within a couple weeks, or he'll at least pitch well enough to help your team as a middle reliever. However, if he has been ho-hum lately, too, he isn't worth adding -- not even if the current closer is hanging by a thread. The last thing you want is Joel Zumaya walking three guys a night or Masa Kobayashi not striking anyone out while you wait for Todd Jones and Joe Borowski to implode.
It's also important not to jump the gun and pick up a middle reliever too early. Even if a middle reliever pitches well, many owners will grow impatient and drop him if he doesn't take over the ninth-inning duties. And you know what happens then -- he inevitably ascends to closer status a few days later.
With these thoughts in mind, let's take a look at the widely available closers-in-waiting with the most potential:

Eddie Guardado, Rangers. Despite manager Ron Washington's vote of confidence for C.J. Wilson , we suspect Wilson is only a blown save or two away from getting the hook. Enter Every(other)day Eddie, someone who's excelled as a closer in the past. Guardado has been scored upon in only one of his past 10 outings, and, unlike the past couple seasons, it doesn't look like he'll kill you in any categories. He isn't a big strikeout guy, but he could be a worthwhile investment.
Damaso Marte, Pirates. We don't think Matt Capps is going anywhere, but it's worth noting that he has blown three of his past five save opportunities. Regardless of what happens with Capps, Marte is worth a look. He has allowed only one run since June 1 (12.2 innings), and opponents are hitting only.119 against him in that span. Take away Marte's first two appearances this season -- he allowed six earned runs in two-thirds of an inning -- and here's his stat line: four wins, 1.70 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 39 Ks in 37 innings. That's worthy of a mixed-league add, especially when you remember how good he was last season.
Ryan Rowland-Smith, Mariners. Brandon Morrow appears set to be the Mariners' closer while J.J. Putz (elbow) is out, but Morrow recently had a back flare-up and was sidelined several days. The Mariners had two save opportunities while Morrow was out -- one was blown by Miguel Batista; the other was converted by Arthur Rhodes . Batista is out of the picture now, and had Rowland-Smith not been used earlier in the other game (partly because Felix Hernandez exited early with an injury), there's a good chance he would've gotten the call over Rhodes in the ninth as he had earlier this season. If Morrow gets hurt again (or is ineffective), Rowland-Smith would be a nice guy to have in reserve. Opponents are hitting only .210 off him, and he has K/9 ratio of 7.30.
Grant Balfour, Rays. Technically, Dan Wheeler is the current favorite to get saves if Troy Percival gets injured again, but owners shouldn't overlook Balfour, who closed for Tampa's Triple-A team before being called up on May 31. He had eight saves, a 0.38 ERA and 39 Ks in 23.2 innings for Durham, and since joining the big club, he's 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 19 Ks in 12.1 innings. With numbers like that, we wouldn't be surprised if Balfour took over the ninth-inning duties if/when Percival goes down again. Either way, he's worth an add for those looking for a quality middle reliever.

Jason Isringhausen, Cardinals. Wait, that has to be a typo, right? No, it's not. The Cardinals have not indicated that Isringhausen will be back in the closer's role any time soon, but his recent success (1.04 ERA, 1.27 WHIP over 8.2 innings since being activated) combined with Ryan Franklin's blown save on Thursday should get the wheels turning. Isringhausen likely won't be getting the call in the ninth for at least a couple weeks -- and, because he isn't a big strikeout guy, won't provide much in the meantime -- but owners should be prepared to grab him at some point. It's no secret that Tony La Russa likes Isringhausen and prefers veterans in important roles.

Doug Brocail, Astros. OK, the Astros probably invested too much into Jose Valverde to suddenly relieve him of his closer duties, but I can't shake the feeling that he is due for a demotion. True story: I have Valverde on one of my teams, and I actually cringe whenr I see the Astros leading by three or fewer runs heading into the ninth. Basically, I'd actually prefer if one of my closers didn't get save opportunities because I'm scared to death Valverde is going to get lit up. That's not a good sign.
If I'm that worried, you can bet the Astros aren't exactly feeling secure, either. Brocail would step in for Valverde if something happens, and he'll likely do a good job. Currently, he's doing enough to provide relief for any fantasy team. His K/9 is significantly higher than it has been the past two years (7.51 this year compared to 5.05 and 6.04 in '07 and '06, respectively), so don't let last year's lackluster strikeout totals dissuade you from giving Brocail a shot.

A few other waiver-wire tips from around the league:

Elijah Dukes is the second-most popular pickup in SN leagues this week (777 adds), but he's still owned in only 37 percent of leagues. Dukes has been performing at a mixed-league level over the past 30 days (.323, 15 runs, three homers, 14 RBIs, six SBs), but it should be noted all three of his homers have come at home, and he's slugging over 100 points better at Nationals Park. Washington is set for a seven-game road trip starting Monday, so beware of a power decline next week. ...
Don't look now, but Jim Edmonds is on fire. He's hitting .298 with 10 runs, six homers and 21 RBIs since joining the Cubs. And with Alfonso Soriano, Reed Johnson and Kosuke Fukudome all injured, you can bet he's going to keep seeing regular at-bats. However, like Dukes, Edmonds' power seems reserved for home games (all six of his Cubs' homers have come at Wrigley), so don't be surprised to see a decline in production when Chicago starts a 10-game road trip on Friday. Included in that trip are four games at San Francisco and three in Edmonds' old town of St. Louis. ...

We know he's 45, but Jamie Moyer deserves to be owned in more than 39 percent of SN leagues. The guy has been awesome over the past 30 days (3.38 ERA, 1.03 WHIP), and he even struck out nine in his most recent start. One cause for concern, though: Moyer pitches considerably better on the road, and only one of his three scheduled pre-break starts come away from Citizens Bank Park. And that's in Texas. ...

Don't sleep on Twins 3B Brian Buscher. Since his returning to the Twins on June 14, he has hit .417 with 10 runs, a homer and 13 RBIs. He's not going to give you a ton of power -- which many owners want from a CI -- but a nice average and solid run production isn't out of the question. Grab him while he's on a hot streak. ...

Another Twin fantasy owners should take notice of is SP Kevin Slowey. In his past three starts, Slowey is 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 0.90 WHIP. He also has 16 Ks in that span, showing there's more to his game than impeccable control. Home runs still will be a concern, but if he can continue limiting baserunners the way that he has lately, Slowey is worth an add.

Associate editor Matt Lutovsky is a fantasy baseball expert for Sporting News

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