Showing posts with label NYY. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NYY. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 11, 2009

PECOTA Season Projections

PECOTA Season Projections
by Matt Sisson on Tuesday, February 10, 2009 4:40 pm EST

Baseball Prospectus has released it’s yearly AL and NL projections. Topping out the American League East is the Boston Red Sox followed by the New York Yankees. BP projects the Sox to win 98 games with the Yankees finishing just one game back with a 97-65 record. The Cleveland Indians are projected winners in the Central with the Twins finishing second. Oakland takes the West with the Angels finishing in second with just 79 wins.

The American League East remains at the top of the AL rankings with the Red Sox leading all of baseball with 98 wins and second to the Chicago Cubs by just 1 run with 864. The projected second place New York Yankees will boast an impressive 97 wins, more than any other AL or NL division leader. Tampa is also projected to win 92 games, which is 8 better than the division leader in the AL West and Central.

The Cubs are projected to be the best National League team with 95 wins while the Mets top the East with 93 wins and the Diamondbacks lead the west with 90 wins. As i previously mentioned, the Cubs are projected to lead all of baseball with 865 runs scored, which is better than any team in the NL by a large margin. The Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies are both projected to win 88 games in ‘09 and one should secure the wild card in what would be a projected one game playoff.

It looks to be a long season in the NL Central as the Pittsburgh Pirates are projected to be the worst team in baseball with 97 losses, just beating out the Houston Astros who are projected to lose 96 games. The Seattle Mariners bottom out in the American League with 92.


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Thursday, May 22, 2008

Joba Chamberlin Moving to rotation

Joba The Starter - 05/22/2008

BY Aaron Gleeman


LATEST FANTASY BASEBALL HEADLINES

Yanks begin process of making Joba a starter


Padres' Young has nose fractured by liner


Colon beats Royals in Red Sox debut


Tigers activate Willis, place him in bullpen


Brewers shut down Gagne due to stiff shoulder


Pedro leaves Mets to be with ailing father


Mets' Church injures head, taken to hospital

Joba Chamberlain entered an 8-0 game Wednesday and worked two innings for just the second time this season, with manager Joe Girardi explaining why afterward by saying that the Yankees are now prepping him for a shift to the rotation. Coming into the season most speculation had the Yankees aiming to have Chamberlain in the rotation after the All-Star break, but Phil Hughes and Ian Kennedy struggling and the team fighting just to stay above .500 likely hurried those plans.Chamberlain has posted a 1.42 ERA and 59-to-15 strikeout-to-walk ratio while holding opponents to a .178 batti! ng average over 44.1 relief innings, but being a setup man limited his fantasy value. It'll be nearly impossible for Chamberlain to approach that level of dominance as a starter, but he can significantly boost his value anyway. He hasn't started a game since last July, but has an impressive track record as a starter in both college and the minors.He had a 2.45 ERA and 135-to-27 strikeout-to-walk ratio between three levels of the minors prior to being called up and has an arsenal of pitches that makes him well suited to start after working almost exclusively with his fastball and slider as a reliever. Assuming that it takes Chamberlain a couple weeks to build up arm strength, he's very capable of winning double-digit games with an ERA in the mid-3.00s and 125-150 strikeouts going forward while making 18-20 starts.While Hank Steinbrenner finally gets his wish, here are some other notes from around baseball .* Dontrel! le Willi s returned from the disabled list Wednesday, but the Tigers opted against sticking him back into the rotation after he posted a 4.41 ERA and 11-to-7 strikeout-to-walk ratio in three minor-league rehab starts. Armando Galarraga has pitched well filling in for Willis, but the Tigers' other starters have ERAs of 6.65, 6.08, 5.61, and 4.76 overall, so it's somewhat telling that Willis will be working out of the bullpen for now.Willis figures to resume starting again soon enough, but he was a poor fantasy bet coming into the season and remains a poor bet now. Even at just 26 years old he now longer has the stuff to overpower hitters and continues to struggle with command. Some low-pressure appearances as a reliever will give him a chance to start throwing strikes again, but he hasn't walked fewer than 3.3 batters per nine innings since 2005 and doesn't figure to start no! w.* Albert Pujols went 1-for-5 with a single in a modest night at the plate Wednesday, but knocked both members of the Padres' battery out of the game. In the third inning Pujols smacked a line drive back up the middle that nailed Chris Young on the bridge of his nose, leaving the 6-foot-10 starter a bloody mess and fortunate that he's not a few inches shorter (or unlucky that he's not a foot shorter). Later that inning Pujols slid into Josh Bard on a clean play at the plate, leaving the catcher with an ankle injury.As ugly as Young taking Pujols' liner off his face looked, Bard's inj! ury may actually prove more significant. Young never lost con! sciousne ss, walked off the field largely under his own power, and didn't appear to be in a huge amount of pain, although the latter is easy to say from the comfort of my couch. He's been diagnosed with a fractured nose and was taken to the hospital to be examined for a concussion, among other things, but for now appears to have averted disaster.* Called up from Triple-A, Bartolo Colon made his Red Sox debut Wednesday, giving up two runs over five innings against the Royals. Colon allowed six singles, issued two walks, and struck out four, working with a fastball that frequently clocked in at 93-94 miles per hour. He's certainly not a safe option in mixed leagues yet, but should definitely be owned in AL-only leagues and makes for a solid play next week with starts against the Mariners and Orioles.* After sharing the job with Maicer Izturis early in the season, Aybar started 39 straight games at shortstop despite batting just .273/.287/.374 with a horrible 18-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio during that stretch. His streak came to an end Wednesday, as the Angels placed Aybar on the disabled list with a dislocated right pinkie finger suffered the previous night. Chone Figgins came off the DL to fill Aybar's spot on the roster, which means that Izturis is free to shift back to shortstop again.AL Quick Hits: Jorge Posada tested his injured shoulder by throwing from 75-90 feet Tuesday, with manager Joe Girardi saying afterward that he could begin a minor-leag! ue rehab assignment next week . After complaining publicly abo! ut Kenji Johjima's pitch-calling, Jarrod Washburn got Jamie Burke as his catcher Wednesday and allowed nine runs to push his ERA to 6.99 . Alex Rodriguez went 3-for-4 with a homer and two doubles Wednesday, but would've had a second long ball if not for a blown call . Nick Blackburn had held the Rangers scoreless for five frames Wednesday before being rocked from seven runs in the sixth inning, but thanks to <Alexi Casilla's erro! r only one run was earned . Manager Eric Wedge said Tuesday that Joe Borowski (triceps) could come off the DL and resume closing by the end of the week . Daric Barton batted seventh Wednesday and went 0-for-3, leaving him 7-for-55 (.127) this month . Despite a strained right calf, Chien-Ming Wang is expected to make his scheduled start Saturday . David Eckstein (hip) suffered a setback while rehabbing and won't be activated from the DL when eligible Thursday.NL Quick Hits: Rick Ankiel (shoulder) wa! s out of the lineup Wednesday for the fifth straight game, but! was hea lthy enough to deliver a pinch-hit homer . Chipper Jones left Wednesday's game with a bruised shin, but as usual figures to be day-to-day . General manager Jim Bowden said Wednesday that he's "concerned" about Austin Kearns' sore elbow and the Nationals have sent him for a second opinion . Ubaldo Jimenez shut out the Giants for seven innings Wednesday, but got stuck with a no-decision when Brian Fuentes blew his third save . Ben Sheets scattered 11 hits in a complete-game win Wednesday, with Xavier Nady's solo homer serving as the only damage . Moises Alou is scheduled to undergo an MRI on his strained left calf, which he said Wednesday "has been bothering me for three or four days" . After going 0-for-4 on Wednesday, Jeff Kent is just 8-for-55 (.145) this month . According to the New York Daily News, "the buzz among scouts is that the Mets are shopping Aaron Heilman" . Dizziness knocked Jerry Hairston from Wednesday's game, with Paul Janish likely to start at shortstop Thursday.


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Thursday, May 8, 2008

Wang Loses shoot out


BY Aaron Gleeman


Furcal scratched from lineup with sore back
One night after Joe Mauer's double with one out in the ninth inning saved Minnesota from being no-hit, the same offense that ranked as the league's second-worst erupted for 13 runs on 16 hits Wednesday against Mark Buehrle, who had been 20-10 with a 3.69 ERA versus the Twins. As if that weren't enough, Carlos Gomez hit for the Twins' first cycle since Kirby Puckett in 1986, Nick Punto collected five RBIs, and Livan Hernandez took a shutout into the ninth inning.And people wonder why I love baseball so much.Gomez was hitting just .230/.247/.310 prior to being benched for one game on April 23. In eight games since then he's gone 13-for-30 (.433) with two homers, five total extra-base hits, and four steals. He's now up to .282/.306/.427 in 28 games overall, which along with going 13-for-14 swiping bases and playing excellent defense in center field is enough to make up for a hideous 29-to-3 strikeout-to-walk ratio.Flaws and all, Gomez is on track to hit .280 with 60 total extra-base hits, 105 runs, and 70 steals as a 22-year-old, although keeping up that pace will be nearly impossible if he ends up with 160 strikeouts and only 15 walks. Of late Gomez has looked like he might be just a modicum of plate discipline away from emerging as one of baseball's better all-around center fielders in his first full season, although the Twins aren't exactly known for teaching young hitters how to show patience.While Gomez somehow manages to overshadow both a five-RBI performance from Punto and Hernandez improving to 5-1, here are some other notes from around baseball .* Cliff Lee and Chien-Ming Wang squared off Wednesday in a matchup of unbeaten pitchers, with Lee winning the battle by shutting out the Yankees for seven innings. He's now 6-0 with a 0.81 ERA, which is absolutely astonishing given that he was demoted to the minors last season after posting a 6.43 ERA in Cleveland and came into this year with a 4.64 ERA in 125 career starts. It's natural to remain somewhat skeptical of Lee's amazing start, but don't write it off as a fluke.Lee has made some significant adjust! ments, beginning with using his fastball about 15 percent more often. He's also cut way down on changeups, particularly against left-handed hitters, who knocked him around to the tune of .327/.385/.533 last year despite Lee being a southpaw. Beyond that, his excellent 39-to-2 strikeout-to-walk ratio suggests that he's far less likely to see his luck run out than, say, Gavin Floyd. In other words, his deal with the devil may last for a while.* Chris Iannetta disappointed a ton of fantasy owners last year, but remained one of my favorite sleeper picks this year based on his excellent minor-league track record. In my column about NL-only hitting sleepers back in February, the section about Iannetta advised that he "could still move past Yorvit Torrealb! a an d make a big impact" and continued to possess "strong long-term upside if he gets on track." Sure enough, that's exactly what's happened.Iannetta was seemingly facing an uphill battle to get another shot as the Rockies' starter behind the plate once Torrealba signed a multi-year deal this winter, but hitting .350 can change an awful lot. He started over Torrealba for the fourth straight game Wednesday, knocking in two runs with a game-winning triple. Iannetta is up to .353/.414/.686 in 58 trips to the plate, which shows why 200 games in the minors should be trusted over 50 games in the majors. He's for real.* Wednesday saw the Braves' bullpen get hit by a slew of elbow-related bad news, including the announcement that Peter Moylan will have season-ending Tommy John surgery. Beyond that, Rafael Soriano had to cut his throwing session short due to elbow soreness and Mike Gonzalez's comeback from Tommy John surgery of his own hit a snag. Soriano and Gonzalez may still be back within weeks, but for now Manny Acosta's ninth-inning duties are looking pretty secure.* Manager Dusty Baker surprisingly handed rookie Joey Votto the starting job at first base early this season and then surprisingly stuck with him recently despite a two-week homerless stretch. Votto broke out of that slump in a big way Wednesday, going deep three times as the Reds hit a total of seven long balls in a blowout win over the Cubs. Votto is now batting .302/.362/.583 with seven h! omers through 32 games, so Scott Hatteberg should get comfortable on the bench.* While the Reds' lineup was going nuts, Edinson Volquez had 10 strikeouts over seven scoreless innings, slicing his NL-leading ERA to 1.06. Baker allowing the 24-year-old right-hander to throw 118 pitches in a game that was out of reach by the fifth inning is questionable and worth watching going forward given his track record of overworking young starters. Volquez has now cracked the 100-pitch barrier in five straight starts, including two outings of 110-plus pitches.AL Quick Hits: Shaun Marcum was one out from a complete-game shutout Wednesday agaainst the Rays, but B.J.! Upton ruined things with a two-run double . Rich Harden (shoulder) is set to return from the disabled list Sunday versus the Rangers, with Chad Gaudin shifting to the bullpen to make room in the rotation . Mariners fans had the indignity of watching Miguel Cairo start at first base Wednesday when Richie Sexson was a late scratch because of what the team called a family issue . Brandon Inge said Tuesday that he's willing to catch when needed and would be open to becoming the Tigers' starter next season if Ivan Rodriguez isn't re-signed . Michael Young left Wednesday's game in the first inning with a hip injury and Ramon Vazquez replaced him at shortstop . Placido Polanco was hitting .140 through April 24, but after collecting five hits Wednesday he's 22-for-54 (.407) since . With Jeff Mathis sitting in the midst of a 4-for-32 slump, Mike Napoli started Wednesday and went 3-for-4 with a homer . John Patters! on had a setback at extended spring training and has been shut down because of continued forearm soreness.NL Quick Hits: Adam Wainwright tossed seven shutout innings Wednesday versus the Rockies, but got stuck with a no-decision when the bullpen blew a 3-0 lead . Ryan Church went 3-for-4 with a homer Wednesday and is hitting .328 with 24 RBIs and 27 runs through 31 games . Mike Jacobs exited Wednesday's game due to a quadriceps injury, with Wes Helms replacing him at first base . Mark Mulder h! as been shut down on his minor-league rehab assignment because! of a st rained rotator cuff, making it even less likely that he'll have an impact this season . Manager Manny Acta announced Wednesday that Mike O'Connor will replace Matt Chico in the rotation beginning Saturday against the Marlins . Jack Wilson (calf) has experienced a setback in his recovery and is now expected to miss at least two more weeks . Making his first start since rejoining the rotation in place of Yovani Gallardo (knee), Dave Bush allowed six runs Wednesday against the Marlins . Ryan Ludwick went 2-for-4 with a homer Wednesday and is now hitting .356/.424/.701 on the year.


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